Russia-Ukraine War

[fiksal]

I am not denying it could be Russia, I am just saying we should keep our eyes wide open. There are other Nations very interested keeping NATO distracted with Russia, maybe to act more freely on their behalf.

Like who? Do you mean China who doesnt want to see US involved in the Russian war near its interests?

[Tamina]

Its one possibility, who knows. Either it is Russia and the states are holding back to call for Article 5 or it is someone else.

China could stop the war anytime, but a US carrier near Europe is not a US carrier near Taiwan.

[mr.WHO]

We haven't seen new franken-vechicle for a while:
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1975834742273810639

Wonder if it won't fall apart from first shot from the turret.

[burger1]

You could probably just use a drone or a camera, sensors, etc... on a wired connection. No need for divers really to destroy a pipeline that is static. You can get fish lure cameras that go down to 200m.

Zavod Pripoev plant in Novosibirsk, Russia got hit. Apparently it is a big electronic complex linked with military, supplying key components like radio, communication and weapon parts etc.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qgArR7Vb214

Ukraines hitting about one refinery each day. It looks like the refinery LUKOIL-Korobkovsky gas processing plant in the city of Kotovo in Russia's Volgograd Oblast was hit today.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/gas ... 00830.html

Poland accuses Russia of attack plot involving explosives smuggled in corn tins.

https://www.euronews.com/2025/10/03/pol ... -corn-tins

A Ukrainian suspect linked to Russia’s military intelligence agency (GRU), who has only been identified as Władysław D, allegedly transported the cans to Poland after digging them up at a cemetery in neighbouring Lithuania.
The young man left them near the city of Łódź in central Poland, according to Gazeta Wyborcza.
A military expert told the Polish paper that the quantities of explosives believed to have been involved could have caused severe damage to a car and life-threatening injuries to people nearby.

Ukraine's Special Operations Forces strike Russian missile ship en route from Baltic to Caspian Sea

https://www.msn.com/en-us/war-and-confl ... r-AA1NQPfF

The missile carrier was travelling from the Baltic Sea towards the Caspian Sea. The strike hit the right section of the ship's engine compartment. Further details are being clarified. The Grad is one of Russia's newest and most advanced vessels, commissioned into the Russian Baltic Fleet on 29 December 2022. Its primary armament is the Kalibr-NK missile system.

Ukraine's been hitting russias power generating stations and russias power grid. This might be one of the latest attacks.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/10/06/ ... -missiles/

Two regions Russia uses to launch attacks on Ukraine are left without power. After a strike on 6 October, Belgorod Oblast is experiencing massive power outages, leaving 24 settlements without electricity. In Bryansk Oblast, a thermal power plant (TPP) was hit twice in one day, sparking a fire

[felter]

That ship attack is interesting due to the fact they attacked it from around, 1000K away and it was a moving target. Ukraine are not saying how they did it as they don't want the Russians to know, but they are saying to the Russians, you are not safe no matter how far away you are. I suspect it was probably some kind of laser guidance system that Ukraine are now using, but that's just speculation by myself.

Another interesting but sad thing, Russia have been using horses where they actually did a cavalry attack on a Ukrainian position, of course this didn't end too well for those Russian soldiers but more importantly the poor horses. I watched one video that I most certainly cannot link, where they used a drone to take out a Russian soldier and his horse. The Ukrainians are not happy about having to kill those horses, but they have no other choice but to do so. Very sad indeed, just another sign of Russian desperation.

[felter]

On October 10 Russia tried to intimidate Lithuania by amassing troops, Tanks and APC's on the Belarus Lithuania's border, but it has backfired as Lithuania and Poland have used this intimidation to officially close their borders to all but essential traffic, food and medical, and they have announced that they will not be re-opening these borders till the Russia Ukraine war ends. This is really bad news for Kaliningrad, as there is now no longer any kind of route in and out of Kaliningrad and Russia. All vehicles that arrive at the border are being meticulously inspected and if a single item is found then they are sent back to Russia, even if it's a single vehicle in a convoy they are all sent packing. This isn't just effecting Russia, China's new Silk Road is also effected as they use these border crossings.

Also looks like Ukraine are destroying or at the very least able to attack at least one refinery every single night, and they are going right into Russian territory, I think the furthest one so far has been around 1600 KM inside Russia. They also hut the refinery in Crimea last night, that will be the second time in the last month

There are also reports coming in that a large part of the Russian front line has all but collapsed, with Ukraine taking back a lot of territory in a single night that took Russia months to take. As far as I have heard, Ukraine have changed tactics and right now Russia does not know what to do about it.

[fiksal]

yeah it looks like Ukrainian strategy had changed over the years. Instead of doing assaults Russian style, they sit back and wait for Russia to exhaust troops, and then some more, for Russia to run out of equipment and fuel.

about horses

someone remembered WW2, Russians did the same then, with the same result

[Tamina]

Do they have a choice? Ukraine doesn't seem to be in the position to act anyway.

[chew-ie]

Ukraine is acting a lot last time I checked (retaking territory, attacking fuel infrastructure, leading the drone warfare R&D...). It's just those "grande offensives" don't cut it anymore. Lesson learned, strategy adapted.

---

Seems like the first fruits of the Ukraine invasion bear to fruit for Putin - or at least some of the long-term consequences start to surface: "Russia-Arab world" isn't a thing for the time being due to a lack of interest.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/ ... iddle-east

[fiksal]

Do they have a choice? Ukraine doesn't seem to be in the position to act anyway.

there's always a choice to do something stupid

you can do what Russians do, assault, then try to hold bad position

[mr.WHO]

IMO, Ukraine should use their long range missiles, drones and coming Tomahawks, to destroy Russian refineries, airfields and drone/munition factories.
Then just sit and wait till war attrition do the job.

Russians build the story that they can endure much, but they forgot everyone around them are experienced in battle of endurnance as well.

Meanwhile, Ukraine will receive more modern stuff, more F-16, Mirage 2000s, Gripens, possibly A-10, Skyrangers and dozens other systems I forgot (e.g. EU/UK Drone initiative).
Time works in Ukraine favor, not Russia.

Oh and scary Russian mobilization won't work anymore - mobilize 2 milion soldiers? How will you move/train/feed/supply them? Russian logistics still sux.
How will you arm them? With T-62 and mad max golf carts? Are you sure you have enough golf carts?
"Secret Russian second army"? Ah Yes, all new stuff is going to Rosgvardia - aka Putin's pretorian guard with zero combat experience, all they do is sit around Moscov and Petersburg, to sh*t their pants thinking about next Prigozin. The only time they fought was during Ukraine Kharkiyv counter offensive, where Ukraine SOF folded them like a sheet of paper

[felter]

I think the biggest difference between the two is that Ukraine tactics and weaponry keeps evolving, if something doesn't work on a drone they fix it if a tactic isn't working then they change it while it looks pretty much like Russia is stuck in its ways they keep using the same or older ways of doing things it's like they are incapable of evolving or understanding just what's going on. It also turns out their T90M tank which Putin declared as being the best tank on the planet is just another piece of Russian junk based on old Soviet technology, and they are just being wiped out by modern anti-tank weaponry.

What the Ukrainians are currently doing is intentional creating weak points on their front line and the Russians keep falling for it, it turns out they are all traps, they are enclosing the Russians separating them from their main force and surrounding them in small villages and watching them, they are not attacking them, the Russians have no power, water or food, if they try to leave the Ukrainians are using drones to kill them, if they try to surrender then their fellow Russians are killing them and no one is coming to their aid. So they are all on the verge of dieing from hunger, cold and thirst and the Ukrainian troops are not even having to risk their lives, just sit back and watch, that is their current tactic.

Meanwhile, over 40% of Russian refineries have gone up in smoke, creating a massive fuel shortage, the Russian press has mentioned that there is a fuel shortage, but they are making up excuses they are not saying anything about the refineries being destroyed, one excuse that they used was it was seasonal and another was due to some kind of holiday, whatever that may have been. But whatever it means, there is going to be a lack of heating this winter in Russia, imagine it being -30 Celsius/-22 Fahrenheit outside, and you have no heating good luck to them.

Turns out the Russian navy is in a pretty bad state, for Decades there has been a major build up of Russian navy vessels in the med, but now there is next to nothing, there this is for several reasons, the main being Syria told them to take a hike so they lost their port in Syria so they have no way to maintain a fleet there any more as they no longer have port to dock in and no one is willing to give them one. They could use the Black Sea, but Turkey won't allow them to use their waters. Their next nearest port is in Kaliningrad, but due to my previous port, Kaliningrad can't even take care of itself right now, let alone a Russian fleet. So the Russian navy is pretty much screwed right now.

Here's a question that a lot of people seem to be asking right now, just who is going to replace Putin, no one has got a clue on that.

[burger1]

Trump not supplying Ukraine with tomahawk missiles. trump says russia should keep all the land it's taken. trump helps russia and provides fake news stories so that it doesn't look like he supports russia. Same as usual. The trend is very consistent.

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/10/18/euro ... e-intl-hnk

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky failed to obtain Tomahawk missiles for strikes on Russia from a meeting with Donald Trump on Friday, with the US president later calling for both sides to cease fighting and accept current battle lines.

russia hot ammonia plant in an attempt to retrieve it's soldiers stuck in Pokrovsk. russia has been killing russian soldiers trying to surrender/escape.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/10/16/ ... -pokrovsk/

Blowing up critical infrastructure to poison the battlefield represented an unprecedented act of desperation, yet the gas only blocked ground reinforcements while drone operators remained unaffected and decimated the relief column.

[clakclak]

Trump not supplying Ujraine with tomahawk missiles. trump says russia should keep all the land it's taken. trump helps russia and provides fake news stories so that it doesn't look like he supports russia. Same as usual. The trend is very consistent.

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/10/18/euro ... e-intl-hnk
[...]

You mean to tell me the country whos minister of war wore a Russian flag tie while meeting with Zelensky is actually pro Russian? I am shocked, shocked I tell you!

[fiksal]

shocking!

[felter]

Sounds like Crimea is in a pretty bad way right now, there is no water, power, fuel and food is getting pretty scarce and what they do have is being diverted to the troops in Ukraine, When Russia annexed the place a lot of Russians moved in, but now they are starting to move on back to mainland Russia because Crimea is becoming a wasteland, that people cannot live in.

[burger1]

Ukraine hits Russian chemical plant in Bryansk Oblast, Russia with UK-made Storm Shadow missiles. Ukraine uses UK long range missiles to destroy targets in russia proper.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crmxjverzzro

Ukraine's military said it was imperative to target Russian facilities that play a key role in Moscow's war against Ukraine: "The Bryansk Chemical Plant is a key facility of the aggressor state's military-industrial complex", it said on X.

It added that the plant "produces gunpowder, explosives and rocket fuel components used in ammunition and missiles employed by the enemy to shell the territory of Ukraine".

Polish judge refuses to extradite Ukrainian Nord Stream blasts suspect due to the act of blowing up the pipeline being just

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8drmzv98jzo

A Polish judge has refused to extradite a Ukrainian citizen – suspected by Germany of sabotaging the Nord Stream gas pipelines in September 2022 – arguing that if Ukraine was responsible for the attack, then it was a "just" act.

Poland, Romania foil Russian exploding parcels plot, Warsaw says

https://www.reuters.com/world/polish-se ... 025-10-21/

Poland and Romania detained eight people suspected of planning sabotage on behalf of Russia, authorities in Warsaw said on Tuesday, with three arrests concerning an alleged new plan to send exploding parcels, this time to Ukraine.
European officials have previously blamed Russia for detonations of parcels carried by DHL and DPD in Europe in 2024, in what security services said was part of a test run for a Russian plot to trigger explosions on cargo flights to the United States. Russia has denied having any such plans.

Saransk Mechanical Plant was apparently hit last night by Ukrainian drones - 2:42 in the video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JfXEKs9Sobk

Explosions occurred at oil refineries in Romania and Hungary on the evening of Oct. 20, both of which have links to Russia, local media reported on Oct. 21. - The Romania one may have been from a mess up during maintenance - pipeline in Hungary may have also been damaged

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/bl ... r-AA1OTZzn

An explosion also occurred at Hungary's largest oil refinery, located in the city of Szazhalombatta, which receives crude oil from Russia

The exact cause of the incident remains under investigation. The Szazhalombatta facility, considered the most advanced in Hungary's oil refining sector, may now face a temporary shutdown.

Ukraine continues it's daily attacks on russian refineries and power stations. There might be at least 2 refineries burning today. A fuel train might have been blown up very recently? Railway line by a NATO border may have been blown up/sabotaged? russia still has tanks.

[mr.WHO]

When you think you have seen everything...check this at 11:50:
https://youtu.be/mgEpCfPAtE8?si=QfpyNY0C4cH-3un6&t=710

My first thought - mobile Baba Yaga house.
My second thought - even W40k Orcs build prettier things.

Aparently the spikes suppose to cause fiber optic cable to entangle on them.

[chew-ie]

Just you wait - soon they will paint those red. It's faster then. *scnr*