Russia-Ukraine War

[fiksal]

So why is the Kremlin restricting communications? Are the Russian losses much worse than the official numbers? Is a general mobilization happening soon?

Mobilization will do one of two things
- spell the end of Putin, as it'll push at the apolitical and disinterested masses, and cause cracks in his regime
- mobilizes apolitical Russians further into fascist idealogy against common enemy, etc.

I personally agree with the first point more, but 2nd point is not improbable. The society has been changing over the years.


Communication are probably restricted for all the same old reasons as during USSR. Remove all news and communication sources that are not official Kremlin propaganda. Listen in on all that are "foreign agents". Having a unified messaging system just makes sense.

[fiksal]

Mr Nobody. I haven't watched this movie yet, but from little I have seen and read, it should be a good view on what the Russian society has become.

Even to me, it's alien.


there's an interview here about that
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2026/03/ ... car-a92289

[Worilio]

Let's hope that conflict preventing deterrence will limit the spread of war to other regions and at some point Russian megalomaniacal hardliners will understand one way or another, that invading other countries will not work well for them. Unfortunately, it will still take a couple of years though.

I have a friend in Moscow, whom I help to fund professionals for her music videos and now this has become a totally conspirative operation with crypto-pockets and proxy contacts with her friends outside of Russian Federation after the invasion of Ukraine.

[fiksal]

I am not sure we/Russians had learned anything about invading other countries, nothing since 1930s, and definitely nothing since before.

I can imagine transferring money is an interesting process now)

A couple years ago I remember services being offered by people who "move" money

[Worilio]

She organizes that privately without third parties. It just requires professionals for making something on that level and her band is not in Russian main stream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5k_pyJEzrWM

[Usenko]

Anders Puck Nielsen (normally one of the more cautious of the commentators who openly support Ukraine) is now of the opinion that Russia is now on a losing trajectory. He includes a range of asterisks and provisos, but he argues that Russia was banking on Ukraine's backers losing interest - and this hasn't happened.

He does, however, think that Putin will become more dangerous as he gets more frantic.

[felter]

Ukraine has recently set a new record for the longest tank on tank kill when they used a Leopard 2 to take out s T72 from a distance of 5.5 Kilometres/3.4 miles using a kinetic shell. Now the distance in itself is pretty impressive, but you also have to take into account the max range for their kinetic shell is only 5 Kilometres/3.1 miles so somehow they managed to get an extra 500 Metres out of it, I'm thinking they must have been on top of a hill shooting down at the T72 down in a valley, but the Ukrainians are not letting on how they did it. That's not all, the targeting system in a leopard 2 tank only reaches out to 3 Kilometres so they nearly doubled the range, they think they must have used a drone to do the targeting but once again Ukraine aren't saying how they did it so it's all just speculation. Still mighty impressive if I do say so myself.

They are also turning the Leopard 1 tanks that they were gifted into mobile howitzers rather than using them as tanks, they are covering them with all that freaky anti drone crap that they now put on tanks, which seems to be working as one of them was attacked by 52 Russians drones and lived to fight another day. With new barrels on them, they are expected to be reaching a distance of up to 18 Kilometres/11 miles, and I suspect they will be using their drones for targeting making them pretty lethal at that range.

These are the reasons why Russia is going to lose this war, Ukraine keeps on thinking outside the box, while Russia are still using tactics from WW2,

[Alan Phipps]

Range affects accuracy, external influences and the ability to predict target and firing platform movement more than anything else. It isn't as if a fast kinetic penetrator (nor indeed any bullet) just stops being lethal when it reaches it's usual engagement envelope boundaries. A lucky hit at double the usual range can still kill a mobile target under some circumstances. Against a static target you can observe and correct fall of shot in a series of firings (with greater risk of counter-fire of course).

[Worilio]

If fired from an angle of 45 degree, an APFSDS has a range of over 20 km. Hitting a static target of the size of a tank at 5,5 km is clearly possible, if there is no wind and the lasering was accurate and delivered the precise distance. But the penetration suffers from distance and it depends on where the target gets hit.

[Usenko]

It's hard to overstate the importance of Hungary's change of government.

Even if Hungary goes from obstructive to not-obstructive, that's a massive improvement for Ukraine, and that's before we even think about the possibility of Hungary becoming an ally.

[felter]

Sounds pretty much like the only person left in Russia who is not saying that Russia cannot win this war is Putin, they are losing far to many lives, over 35K confirmed kills in March alone 96% of those were by drone strikes and that's just the confirmed kills, so the death toll was probably higher. Meanwhile, Ukraine president Zelenskyy has released a video surrounded by and talking about Ukrainian weapons, that's some shiny lethal killing machines. And now that there is that change in Hungary, the €90 billion loan that Orban has been holding up is going to be given the green light, meaning Ukraine has more than enough cash to continue fighting for at least another year, more bad news for Putin.

Totally unrelated but kind of related, do you know there are two countries who have not congratulated Péter Magyar on his Hungary win, one of them is Russia, can you guess who the other one is.

[mr.WHO]

OMG - Poland is building a flying anti-drone Death Star (22:35):
https://youtu.be/5UuoiE8_b9w?si=6ODYoTSO-x6n3iOG&t=1355

At full ammo, how many drone can it take out? 100? 200?
I think it's would ran out of fuel before it would ran out of ammo

[notaterran]

I agree that a more pro-Europe Hungary is a good thing. What about Slovakia? Isn't that government still pro-Russia?

[mr.WHO]

Slovakya is more opportunistic-populist comparing to Hungary - thus they are not so staunch pro-Russia and anti-Ukraine as Hungary.

Comparing to Orban, Fico budger several times towards EU and Ukraine.
I assume that with Orban gone, Fico wont be bold enough to put himself into EU neaughty list (he more or less rided on Orban taking all the hits).

However, in grand sheme of things Slovakya was never important towards war-effort, so no matter their stance, their impact is limited.
To what I know, they don't shy away from smell of money, so if Ukraine wanted to buy some military equipment from Slovak even Fico wasn't blocking anyting.

They are basically doing "Khaajit got wares, if you got coin" meme

[mr.WHO]

I checked 3 times, if it's not a late Aprils Fools day, but aparently it's real.

T-14 Armata mock up turret mount on BMP1 and there is a longer story attache to it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eQFlKC_unrU

[Chips]

I checked 3 times, if it's not a late Aprils Fools day, but aparently it's real.

T-14 Armata mock up turret mount on BMP1 and there is a longer story attache to it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eQFlKC_unrU

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cr4e435x4kqo

Decoys have been used throughout armored warfare time. The fact the video creator has zero brain cells doesn't change anything.

[mr.WHO]

I checked 3 times, if it's not a late Aprils Fools day, but aparently it's real.

T-14 Armata mock up turret mount on BMP1 and there is a longer story attache to it:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eQFlKC_unrU

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cr4e435x4kqo

Decoys have been used throughout armored warfare time. The fact the video creator has zero brain cells doesn't change anything.

That's not the decoy in the video I posted.
Decoys are mostly inflatable, static and (relatively) super cheap.

The one I posted is real operational BMP1 chassi with mock-up T-14 Armata turret (possibly even someohow operational and able to fire, albet not the same power as actual tank gun, most likely it's old BMP1 main gun, just with mock-up to make it look like actual tank gun).


This is way too weird and elaborate for use a mere decoy - albeit in some convoluded way, maybe Russians count on Ukrainians mistake it for real T-14 and draw all the fire to destroy (to score media fame).